The rise of geopolitics and challenges to China
- By Jin Liangxiang
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E-mail China.org.cn, March 23, 2014
Russia's response should be natural. Russia considers Ukraine as the last buffer zone against the West's encroachment of its sphere of influence on its western border. Therefore, Russia's strategy is to prevent Ukraine from coming under the influence of the West. Otherwise, Russia will have to face Western troops at its front door. As a nation always has an empire ambition, Russia also regards the West's aggressive encroachment as a kind of humiliation of its dignity.
Today's global geopolitical conflict culminates with but is not limited to clashes over Crimea. For instance, the Syria issue is a geopolitical conflict rather than issue of democracy, though Bashar Assad's regime might not be sufficiently legitimate according to today's political standards. It is Assad's policy of allying with Russia and Iran that angers the West and Saudi Arabia.
To put it another way, Iran intends to keep Syria as a major ally in the region so as to enhance its own regional role and balance against Saudi Arabia, its major regional rival, while Saudi Arabia needs to change Syria's policy of allying with Iran by changing the regime.
Syria is also relevant to the strategies of external powers. The Russians are trying to keep Syria as a staunch traditional ally while the West intends to take Syria away from Russia. In any case, Syria remains the only ally of Russia. And without Syria, Russia might not be able to play its due role as a major power in the region.
China is also a victim of rising geopolitics. The United States began its rebalancing or pivoting strategy in Asia-Pacific shortly after Barack Obama took office. As Leon Panetta, former U.S. secretary of defense, announced in the Shangri-La Dialogue in June 2012, the U.S. Navy would reposition 60 percent of its forces to the Pacific area. "That will include six aircraft carriers in the region, the majority of our cruisers, destroyers, combat ships and submarines," he said.
The United States has said that the repositioning of these military resources is not to oppose China, but is it true? The United States has long maintained the island chain circumventing China from South Korea up until the Philippines since the beginning of the Cold War. By pivoting to the Asia Pacific region, the United States obviously wants to strengthen its strategic encirclement of China. Anybody who glimpses at the map of East Asia can understand the story.
Since China's reform and opening-up, China has put its efforts into developing its economy, and China's foreign relations also, rightly, have an economic focus.
However, China should also be well aware that although globalization characterized by interdependence is accelerating in the new century, it has in no way diluted geopolitics. China has increased its military budget a lot in the last decade, but this money should not only be spent on improving the living standards of the soldiers. That should be the lesson that China should learn from the Crimea issue.
The author is a columnist with China.org.cn. For more information please visit: http://china.org.cn/opinion/jinliangxiang.htm
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